I.. may be wrong but I think that Vic was more hinting at bad portrayal than victory/defeat? On that I could agree.
Well, it's both. I've written about it extensively elsewhere, but it basically comes down to "every faction should be good at something". There should be different benefits, RP-wise, from signing up with one faction or another. You know, the State is supposed to be a corporate slightly-fascist nation, but also not too bad a place to live, the strongest military, and a great industrial base. Gallente are flighty fame-seekers, but also the freest nation in New Eden, commercially powerful, have a huge population, and a very stable system, not to mention being
the cultural force in the cluster.
And so forth.
Instead what we got was the CEO calling the State essentially "space-nazis" and CCP Falcon (as well as the rest of the team) apparently deciding that the Federation needed to be the best at
everything. And that, to make it absolutely clear, everyone has to be railroaded into that. So we get the Battle of Caldari Prime, where CCP notices that their side is losing, so they simply spawn Moros's at 0 until they win (ask I-RED about that if you want an earful). This is just an example, keep in mind that the news articles haven't been a panacea either. Incidentally, this came after a long series of events of Heth and the State completely failing, which I get, but it was basically punishing RPers for something they never wanted in the first place (except for Kim, I suppose). And then we can't even help topple the guy ourselves, no, it has to be the Gallente. Yay.
So, after that, they then pull one of the most "What-the-ever-loving-fuck" moves in EvE RP history, with Colelie. You can justify everything, if you want, but the most likely explanation is that after the Federation had its way with Amarr (Kador), and Caldari, it was time to prove that they were better than those damn tribals, too.
My personal theory is that CCP saw falling subscriber numbers and figured that the Federation, (as the "good guys" and the democracy, which people from America and Western Europe would theoretically identify with more) would bring in more players and keep more players if they made it the winner at everything it did and used it as the public RP front. Good luck with that.