I just got home, but am participating and will be providing updates as best I can.
19:05 - Sarum Prime group has been ordered to Ihal. It's a total clusterfuck at this point; the route is some 25 jumps and every single one is under 10% tidi. Yay 5 minute warps.
19:20 - did I say 5 minute warps? I meant 12-15 minute warps. Gal/Matar fleet seems to be heading for Stacmon before hitting Syndicate. So far each system I've jumped through has had 400-500 people in it; because I arrived late, I can't tell if I'm with the bulk of the fleet or not but people are saying there were around 1000 in Sarum Prime before the new destination was given.
19:35 - 19 jumps to go, and people in local I'm at the tail end of the blob - quite possible we're looking at over 1500 people per fleet.
Amarr/Cal fleet is going to RMOC-W in Curse.
Gal/Matar fleet is going to FD-MLJ in Syndi. Word is Goons and Test are already in place waiting for them.
19:48 - both null systems are now gatecamped by significant null contingents flying doctrine fleets. FD- is apparently turning into a total slaughter already. Trying to get in contact with someone already at each fight to provide better info.
20:05 - I'm giving up. Both paths are hellcamped by assorted nullsec blocs and I'm still several jumps out. Both event fleets are shattered.
Amarr admiral actor, on jumping into Doril:
Ren Karetta > I immediately regret my actions.
20:15 - Some people are actually managing to get through into Curse, on account of the nullseccers having started shooting each other. For those not in the know, Doril (the first jump into Curse) has seen some pretty heavy null-on-null action in the past few weeks already, so this is entirely unsurprising.
Doril, at least, seems to have PL + NC. vs. AAA + RAZOR vs. anyone in an event fleet. FD- supposedly has Goons and some other CFC groupies; trying to get in contact with someone there.
20:25 - Getting through Doril is entirely a matter of luck. If you are noticed, you are dead. MWD frigates and battleships are dieing alike. Not even cloakies are living on account of the wrecks, drones, and other people crowding the gate. If you are somehow able to go unnoticed, congratulations - you'd best get to safety.
I'm being told Gal/Matar group actually managed to reach their destination somewhat intact and engaged Serpentis-aligned defenders. Serps were able to hold them off long enough to self-destruct the facility.
20:35 - Event is for all intents and purposes over. Gal/Matar group is apparently scattered and mostly dead as well. In both cases, whatever fraction of the empire fleet that got through was met with numerous pirate defender actors in faction battleships. At least the Gal/Matar group managed to have a fight; the Amarr/Cal group basically got slaughtered.
I'll make a new response post now and try to answer some general questions about this.