Well, the link with Gererique is confirmed. . . interesting method. And interesting application. Makes our analysis a bit more complicated.
As I said, it was implied (or, if you prefer, we inferred it). But it seems to me (OOC) that Soter-c (instead of Soter-p) was at least trying to give the impression that he had more data. If Soter-p wanted Soter-c to do that, then all is well. But if Soter-p didn't actually mean to give that impression, then I've made my recommendation. That's all.
Regarding this, Soter the character had no intention to pretend that he had more data. He used about. . . 10 qualifying words in his various statements to indicate they only had a probability of being correct in their analysis. What was your recommendation, again? To clarify that we're only speculating?
If my character was making conjecture, there would be no background, no discussion on context, no identification of trade routes, etc. The character and I performed analysis of the situation, and displayed it for public consumption. He's assertive, like I am. Some people read-in assertiveness as some kind of missing paragraph of text. . . it's quite remarkable. I keep wondering what people talk about when they comment on IGS posts.