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Statistical Analysis and the State of Faction Lore YC118-120

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Tressith_Sefira:
It's not a new idea - some factions get more lore attention than others. I wanted to know if that was best attributed to random chance or if there was some way to use data to understand the issue better.

Note: these numbers are accurate for articles up to 13-12-2018, since that's when I did the maths. I limited my attention to the past three years of articles. That's about the span of time I've been roleplaying, so that's really what I'm interested in.

First, I had to assign a category to every news article. I decided to break them up into five categories: Empire, State, Federation, Republic, and Other. My rationale was to prioritise the primary actors, setting, and affected parties in determining category over which faction was mentioned in the headline. This usually made the true centre of an article apparent in cases where an article was ostensibly about more than one faction.

This motivated my decision to classify the Caldari Prime and Mordu's Legion articles as "other," as they concern themselves the most with Mordu's Legion rather than either the State or Federation. This also motivated my decision to classify the Kyonoke Inquest articles as "other."

A flaw with my classification system can be seen in the Federation category, which is inflated. I had issues with articles about The Scope. They should all be under the "other" category. In the years when I collected my data, Scope had become an independent media conglomerate. Additional issues were posed by the Kyonoke storyline. Several articles which were ostensibly about the Federation were actually centring around State parties and State consequences, and should have been labelled as such. This means that the relationship between faction and article number in reality should be even stronger than what I calculated.

Here is how I divided articles into five categories from YC118-YC120, a span of three years:

[spoiler]YC120 articles for factions
Empire:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-forces-respond-to-terrorist-attacks-and-slave-revolts-on-five-worlds/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/multiple-terrorist-attacks-against-amarr-empire-as-privy-council-meets/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/republic-and-federation-impose-sanctions-on-amarr-empire-for-insufficient-response-to-kahah-massacres/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/queen-zidarez-claims-kahah-pacification-successful-criticizes-foreign-exaggeration-of-casualties/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kahah-situation-escalates-to-mass-violence-in-space-khanid-forces-and-concord-respond/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/republic-and-federation-condemn-kahah-massacres-threaten-sanctions-or-worse/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/raid-on-khanid-slave-ship-fails-to-free-lost-idama/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kahah-uprisings-massacres-a-humanitarian-crisis-say-republic-and-federation-protestors/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kahah-casualties-in-the-millions-deathglow-drug-linked-to-attacks-queen-zidarez-injured-but-safe/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/major-chemical-weapons-attacks-in-khanid-kingdom-queen-zidarez-missing-slave-revolts-reported/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-and-khanid-holdings-attacked-in-chemical-and-viral-bombing-incidents/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/empress-catiz-i-honors-amarr-loyalist-capsuleer-groups-pie-and-cva-and-responds-to-petitions/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-empire-celebrates-catiz-is-second-year-as-empress-with-military-parade/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ministry-of-internal-order-increases-patrols-along-border-and-in-stations-and-major-cities/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/intaki-claim-lost-idama-discovered-in-khanid-kingdom/
State:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/suvee-quafe-joint-venture-secures-outside-contract-with-kaalakiota/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ishukone-and-hyasyoda-call-for-cbt-to-open-case-over-claims-of-noh-and-cbd-smuggling/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/bakkomolu-productions-dissolved-amidst-noh-wiyrkomi-row/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/nugoeihuvi-and-wiyrkomi-clash-over-comedy-holodrama/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/hyasyoda-and-kaalakiota-enter-echelon-acquisition-talks/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/storm-wind-strikeforce-marks-yanala-day-with-staggered-leave/
Federation:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/all-cursed-refugees-now-in-quarantine-on-gallente-prime/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/garouni-royals-negotiate-third-option-in-capsuleer-sang-do-dispute/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/sang-do-council-denounces-capsuleer-encroachment-issues-ultimatum/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/cursed-exiles-hijack-broadcast-beg-forgiveness/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/gallente-royal-destroys-local-divine-in-freestyle-verse-exchange-gets-married/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/orvanne-district-court-rejects-capsuleer-kyonoke-request/
Republic:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/twenty-fatalities-in-poisoning-incident-aboard-rens-station-weaponized-psychoactive-suspected/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/empire-leaders-defuse-situation-due-to-timing-of-unstable-wormhole-link/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/republic-fleet-requests-concord-help-in-search-for-missing-ship-in-molden-heath/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/sanmatar-maleatu-shakor-addresses-minmatar-liberation-day-crowds/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/thukker-mix-transfers-key-assets-to-core-complexion/
Other:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/maintenance-mayhem-as-machinery-mutinies-on-m-n7wd-iii/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/mysterious-triglavian-galnet-worm-unlocks-abyssal-filament-configuration-for-frigates/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-looks-forward-to-increased-profits-ahead-of-flex-product-line-launch/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/aegis-concord-division-formed-to-bolster-spacelane-security-and-combat-hijackers/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-inner-circle-meeting-to-discuss-ship-disappearances-colonel-valkanir-attending/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/mordus-legion-command-announces-departure-from-caldari-prime/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/large-increase-in-crew-losses-says-joint-report-by-aidonis-foundation-and-soe/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/sisters-of-eve-demand-explanation-for-concord-warfare-experiments/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/opportunity-and-cost-of-entertainment/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/riots-erupt-on-tierijev-iv-over-bad-taste-bets/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/general-akuras-to-oversee-legion-forces-on-caldari-prime/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/abyssal-filaments-discovered-in-rogue-drone-regions-and-confirmed-in-possession-of-major-outlaw-groups/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-warns-against-delving-too-deep-as-abyssal-filaments-are-recovered-from-data-sites/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/inner-circle-maintains-information-blackout-as-demands-grow-for-access-to-triglavian-crew-and-ship/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/capsuleer-delegates-at-soct-gathering-in-yulai-to-receive-special-concord-briefing/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/remembering-the-kyonoke-crisis-one-year-on/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-quarantine-ship-of-unknown-design-in-yulai/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/outer-ring-excavations-to-issue-profits-report-q1-yc120/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-deploys-assault-commandos-and-sanctions-in-the-aftermath-of-attack-on-science-mission/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soe-splinter-group-claims-timebase-mission-a-cover-for-concord-black-ops-anti-drifter-experiment/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-time-measuring-mission-delayed-after-violent-assault/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-agencies-collaborate-on-universal-timebase-measurement-research/

YC119 Articles for Factions
Empire:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/additional-genetics-specialists-arrive-at-kyonoke-inquest-center-after-dispatch-by-empress-catiz/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kador-family-heir-meets-with-empress-catiz-amid-domain-security-concerns/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/loyal-capsuleers-renew-vows-after-emissary-addresses-the-faithful/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/imperial-emissary-to-address-faithful-capsuleers-in-amarr-prime-during-jubilee-celebrations/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-empire-looks-forward-to-first-jubilee-of-coronation-of-empress-catiz-i/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/monuments-to-martyrs-of-the-amarr-empire-near-completion-as-station-renovations-proceed-apace/
State:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ishukone-ceo-derided-at-cep-session-after-offering-assistance-to-both-federation-and-state/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-kasaras-family-missing-home-guard-launches-manhunt-for-father-and-sister/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/formal-identification-of-remains-found-in-kyonoke-pit-implicates-kaalakiota-and-home-guard/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-state-peacekeepers-return-from-kyonoke-pit-breach-confirm-discovery-of-recently-deceased-pilot/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/zainou-releases-preliminary-findings-from-myrskaa-investigation/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-state-of-emergency-declared-after-confirmation-of-kyonoke-outbreak/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-city-of-myrskaa-sealed-off-state-peacekeepers-drafted-in/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/zainou-owned-medical-center-sealed-off-local-health-officials-decline-to-comment/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-quafe-convoy-destroyed-by-caldari-forces-on-caldari-gallente-border/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-chief-executive-panel-orders-partial-closure-of-caldari-gallente-border-decommissions-embassies/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-alleged-fio-report-confirms-operations-inside-state-cep-responds/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/state-armed-forces-rebuke-accusations-of-involvement-in-kyonoke-pit-breach/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-chaos-erupts-during-caldari-gallente-summit-after-leaked-recordings-criticize-chief-executive-panel/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-protestors-return-to-work-after-megacorporate-clamp-down-on-dissent/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/protests-erupt-after-harrowing-footage-leaks-from-inside-myrskaa-nanodome/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/state-peacekeepers-confirm-myrskaa-cleanup-status-as-megacorporations-bid-for-reconstruction-contract/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-business-tribunal-confirms-illegality-of-quafe-convoy-destruction-in-first-hearing/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/home-guard-confirms-completion-of-myrksaa-saturation-direct-treatment-screening-ongoing/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/quafe-company-receives-substantial-pre-tribunal-settlement-from-state-armed-forces-for-loss-of-convoy/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/sukuuvestaa-awarded-myrskaa-reconstruction-contract-after-city-is-razed-on-schedule/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/cep-confirms-final-death-toll-on-oijanen-ii-as-state-armed-forces-prepare-to-raze-myrskaa/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-state-relaxes-border-restrictions-with-federation/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-state-workers-union-day-celebrations-accompanied-by-state-empire-trade-meeting/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-stock-rises-on-news-of-successful-moon-mining-tests-as-kse-closes-ahead-of-state-workers-union-day/
Federation:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-kyonoke-outbreak-confirmed-inside-federal-borders-astral-mining-facility-quarantined-indefinately/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/astral-mining-confirms-loss-of-communications-with-prospecting-facility/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-federation-customs-seizes-record-narcotics-shipment/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-federal-intelligence-office-begins-investigating-terrorism-links-to-rp4-kyonoke-outbreak/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/federation-brands-situation-on-oijanen-ii-a-humanitarian-crisis-after-release-of-shock-footage/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/gallente-human-rights-activists-slam-chief-executive-panel-and-senate-after-oijanen-footage-shows-mass-protest/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/astral-mining-confirms-mothball-of-rp4-facility-after-death-toll-announcement/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/federal-intelligence-office-seizes-hardware-from-rp4-facility-as-investigation-intensifies/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/black-eagles-hold-private-meeting-with-astral-mining-security-director/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/scope-network-ownership-formally-divests-capsuleer-job-brokering-business/
Republic:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/republic-security-services-confirm-kyonoke-muttokon-platform-towed-into-high-orbit/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/quarantine-situation-escalates-freedom-extension-orbital-platform-isolated/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/numerous-staff-quarantined-aboard-orbital-elevator-in-muttokon/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/republic-stands-still-as-trillions-prepare-for-liberation-day-celebrations/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/federation-delegation-meeting-with-republic-fleet-ordnance-officials-and-sanmatars-military-council/
Other:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/directive-enforcement-department-detains-several-key-guardian-angels-members/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soct-declines-to-comment-on-construction-platform-tethered-close-to-rp4-installation/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/genolution-confirms-kyonoke-outbreak-in-efu-gives-details-on-containment/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/directive-enforcement-department-releases-details-of-guardian-angel-operations/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-third-quarantine-zone-established-as-genolution-seals-off-station-decks-in-aridia/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/independent-gaming-commission-announces-sponsorship-of-eve-nt-championships/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/inquest-center-buzzes-with-activity-as-science-teams-arrive-from-across-new-eden/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kyonoke-inquest-center-formally-opens-full-federal-and-genolution-taskforces-arrive/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soct-science-teams-begin-to-arrive-as-construction-continues-on-kyononke-inquest-center/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soct-breaks-silence-on-construction-in-postouvin-announces-kyonoke-inquest-1/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/genolution-station-cleanup-concludes-labs-to-re-open-in-may/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/cleanup-begins-in-efu-after-successful-treatment-and-relocation-of-kyonoke-survivors/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/analysis-of-kyonoke-antidote-fuels-calls-for-investigation-after-widespread-treatment-begins/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/inner-circle-and-soe-agree-protocol-for-transfer-of-project-discovery-to-concord-oversight/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/biotech-companies-begin-mass-synthesis-of-kyonoke-antidote-after-inquest-success/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/kyonoke-inquest-concludes-as-additional-decontamination-equipment-arrives/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-kyonoke-plague-outbreak-reported-on-board-inquest-center/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-body-of-key-scientist-found-after-ransack-of-labs-at-kyonoke-inquest-center/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/yc119-kyonoke-inquest-begins-with-keynote-from-dr.-cador-veranne/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/orvanne-constellation-sees-busiest-traffic-control-day-since-records-began/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-massive-data-corruption-reported-at-kyonoke-inquest-center-sabotage-suspected/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/first-expeditions-to-stricken-quarantine-zones-occur-after-significant-preparation/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/blood-raider-leader-defiant-in-aftermath-of-capsuleer-destruction-of-shipyard/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/blood-raiders-deploy-advanced-shipyard-upwell-and-ded-silent-as-capsuleers-respond/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/scc-relaxes-regulations-on-quantum-entangled-helium-trading/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-ends-rogue-swarm-alert-as-immediate-threat-is-removed/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/rogue-swarm-alert-response-commended-by-concord-as-capsuleers-purge-nests/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/rogue-swarm-alert-declared-by-concord-as-hostile-drones-invade/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/search-and-rescue-in-drone-regions-recalled-due-to-hostile-swarms/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-taskforce-pegasus-confirmed-lost-in-drone-regions/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/project-discovery-exoplanets-to-launch-for-stars-under-concord-oversight/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/eight-teams-to-fight-out-igcs-alliance-tournament-xv-finals-weekend/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/igcs-alliance-tournament-xv-galnet-casting-picked-up-by-empire-majors-as-field-narrows/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/mysterious-enclave-warzones-revealed-by-agency-jobs-on-behalf-of-the-quartermaster-as-capsuleer-investigators-assess-threat/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-celebrates-refinery-and-moon-drilling-tech-launch/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/increase-in-pirate-raids-and-presence-of-blood-raider-and-guristas-bases-raised-in-concord-assembly/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/yoiul-festival-celebrations-looking-forward-to-yc120-as-concord-holiday-season-begins-despite-rogue-swarm-alert/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/rogue-swarm-alert-continues-as-empires-complete-rollout-of-arms-and-materiel-to-affected-areas/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/capsuleer-research-group-claims-discovery-of-secret-research-into-neural-implants/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/arms-race-ensues-as-rogue-swarm-alert-declared-by-ded-after-widespread-eruptions-of-drone-nests-are-detected/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/project-discovery-phase-one-to-be-celebrated-with-monument-at-soe-biological-research-center/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ded-monitoring-stations-warn-of-increased-rogue-drone-activity-possible-rogue-swarm-feared/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-inner-circle-authorizes-extension-of-clone-state-alpha-to-include-battleship-capability/

YC118 Articles for Factions
Empire:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/catiz-tash-murkon-to-be-crowned-empress-of-amarr-as-champion-kelon-darklight-and-team-triumph-in-final-trials/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/aritcio-kor-azor-and-catiz-tash-murkon-meet-with-championship-teams-amidst-final-preparations-for-imperial-succession-trials/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/arrival-of-succession-trials-champions-anticipated-by-honor-guard-of-avatar-titans/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-heirs-elect-visit-sequestered-royal-heirs-in-dam-torsad-ahead-of-championship-finals/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-succession-committee-announces-september-date-for-coronation-of-empress-catiz-i/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/imperial-coronation-week-ends-with-rite-of-shatholsyn-and-confirmation-of-new-royal-heirs/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/catiz-i-addresses-capsuleers-and-imperial-guard-after-historic-day-in-dam-torsad/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/coronation-of-empress-catiz-i-to-take-place-tomorrow-in-dam-torsad/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-third-fleet-admiral-speaks-out-on-purity-of-the-throne/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/imperial-guard-confirms-rumors-of-thwarted-attack-in-throne-worlds/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/imperial-guard-tour-dam-torsad-ahead-of-coronation/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/theology-council-issues-advisory-exhortation-on-status-of-cloned-in-amarr-doctrine/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/amarr-empire-enters-new-era-as-imperial-authorities-convene-following-coronation-week/
State:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-navy-intercepts-guristas-convoy-in-black-rise/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/caldari-megacorps-lead-military-cloning-efforts-as-kaalakiota-and-sukuuvestaa-provide-support-to-caldari-navy/
Fed:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concerns-at-serpentis-military-buildup-passed-to-ded-say-federal-intelligence-sources/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/mercenary-corporations-withdraw-from-chandeille-as-jin-mei-civil-conflict-enters-ceasefire-following-capsuleer-aid-efforts/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/federal-senate-hears-testimony-on-new-cloning-tech-from-intelligence-director-blaque/
Republic:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/total-victory-of-tribal-liberation-force-marked-by-award-of-stripes-of-fury-medal/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-news-sanmatar-shakor-crosses-imperial-border-in-surprise-visit-to-amarr/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/minmatar-tribal-council-calls-for-candidates-to-apply-to-republic-fleet-capsuleer-recruitment-program/
Other:
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-hails-capsuleer-research-effort-as-citadel-prototype-construction-resumes/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-claims-serpentis-sabotage-while-responding-to-capsuleer-attacks-on-citadel-construction-sites/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-citadel-construction-project-begins-amidst-promotional-extravaganza/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-signs-transport-and-communications-deals-with-interbus-and-impetus/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/serpentis-fall-back-after-failed-assault-on-mining-platform/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/leaked-reports-reveal-soe-presence-in-wormhole-systems-researching-drifter-technology/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-first-citadels-research-drive-ends-in-triumph-as-prize-winners-are-announced/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-research-component-acquisition-to-conclude-midnight/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/sisters-of-eve-1/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/scc-authorizes-trading-in-transneural-skill-extraction-and-injection-products/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-reports-excellent-progress-with-research-component-program-calls-on-capsuleers-to-redouble-efforts/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ded-urges-caution-after-rogue-messages-appear-on-hacked-scc-billboards/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/jovian-directorate-withdraws-from-concord-inner-circle-and-designates-soct-as-successor/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/jove-corporations-transferred-to-soct-as-inner-circle-indicates-major-announcement-in-coming-days/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soe-launches-project-discovery-citizen-science-research-program/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soe-confirms-research-into-drifters-and-discusses-preliminary-findings/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-security-head-tours-key-installations-in-outer-ring-and-syndicate-regions/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-delivers-gifts-in-celebration-of-capsuleer-day/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-announces-capsuleer-day/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-celebrates-deployment-of-first-privately-owned-citadels/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-reveals-key-serpentis-locations-after-upwell-data-handover/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-and-upwell-agree-technology-sharing-deal-with-scope-network-to-act-as-broker/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/pressure-mounts-on-upwell-to-hand-over-serpentis-data-and-hardware/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-criticized-by-inner-circle-after-serpentis-raids/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/attack-on-serpentis-shipyard-confirmed/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-confirm-rumors-of-investigation-into-serpentis-fleet-strength/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/upwell-consortium-members-comment-on-federation-concerns-over-serpentis-military-buildup/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-confirms-issue-of-independent-broadcasting-license-to-scope-network/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/updated-scope-network-contractors-listing-issued-on-118-07-20/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/scope-network-updates-on-leading-capsuleer-contractors/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/ded-general-praises-capsuleer-efforts-against-serpentis-forces/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/scope-network-reports-on-broker-success/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/latest-update-on-scope-network-contractors-released-this-afternoon/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-urges-all-out-assault-on-blood-raiders-as-attacks-on-cloning-facilities-continue/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/former-soe-alleges-new-cloning-uses-project-discovery-and-thera-research-warns-of-drifter-danger/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/blood-raider-covert-strike-forces-raid-cloning-facilities-concord-urges-capsuleers-to-destroy-raider-bases/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/blood-raider-covenant-calls-on-sani-sabik-cultists-to-rise-up-and-raid-military-cloning-facilities/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/new-capsuleer-cloning-technology-developments-already-in-use-by-concord-powers-soe-bypassed-concord-treaties/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-assembly-special-session-called-by-inner-circle-technology-sharing-on-the-agenda/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/alpha-clones-bolster-capsuleer-numbers-despite-continued-drifter-assaults/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/breaking-drifter-attacks-on-research-facilities-across-new-eden-reported-by-capsuleers/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/soe-splinter-group-warns-of-shift-in-drifter-activity-thukker-tribe-confirms-anomalous-behavior/
https://community.eveonline.com/news/news-channels/world-news/concord-joint-command-announces-success-of-capsuleer-assault-on-blood-raiders-as-threat-level-is-lowered/
[/spoiler]

At this point in my process, I was struck by how many articles fell into the "other" category - news and lore that mostly concerned itself with justifying gameplay changes, like Upwell articles. I didn't do the maths at the time, but it's visible that "other" is the largest category, and that's by no small margin.

Tallies:
[spoiler]YC120
empire: 15 articles
state: 6 articles
federation: 6 articles
republic: 5 articles
(other, excluded: 23, 41.81% of YC120 true total articles)
32 observations
YC119
Empire: 6
State: 24
Fed: 10
Rep: 5
(other, excluded: 43, 48.86% of YC119 true total articles)
45 observations
YC 118 Articles for Factions:
Empire: 13
State: 2
Fed: 3
Republic: 3
(other, excluded: 43, 67.18% of YC118 true total articles)
21 observations
total number of articles per faction from yc118-120
empire: 34
state: 32
fed: 19
republic: 13
(other, excluded: 109)
total number of faction articles/observations: 98
average number of (faction) articles per year:
empire: 11.333
state: 10.666
fed: 6.333
republic: 4.333
(other, excluded: 36.333)
grand mean (average number of faction articles a year): 8.166
[/spoiler]

Now, it might be tempting to immediately point fingers at the Empire and cry bias. Please do not do that. I think it's more important to note that no faction gets 12 articles a year/one article a month. In an ideal world, we would be able to claim that. Note, also, that these are averages for a year. This means that if a faction got 12 articles in one month for a storyline, it would be presented the same as one article every month. I don't believe that it's unreasonable to ask for twelve articles per faction per year. That comes out to 48 articles, and we've been getting at least 48 news articles; they just haven't been faction articles.

It does make me wonder if the existence of Upwell is killing faction lore. Prior to Upwell, these gameplay changes were likely to have come from a faction or faction-aligned corporation, though maybe it would have come from CONCORD or pirates or precursors, too. But to answer that question, I'd have to structure my data differently, so let's just stick with faction-to-faction numbers for the moment.

In this next part, I use ANOVA (analysis of variance) to determine if faction (my nominal independent variable) has a consequence on number of articles (my interval dependent variable,) or if the differences in article numbers could be explained by random chance. I start by stating my research and null hypothesises. I decide what level of certainty I want my results to have, and then I do maths to determine the differences in numbers of articles within factions from YC118-120, then between them. I do maths that compare those numbers to each other, and then I compare that value to a threshold value determined by the level of certainty I want to have about my results. I finish by determining the strength of the relationship between factions and number of articles published.

[spoiler]H1: There is a relationship between faction and number of articles.
H0: There is no relationship between faction and number of articles.
We'll go with a .1 alpha because I’m not feeling confident. This means that we want to be 90% certain of a relationship.
degrees of freedom between = (number of categories 4 -1) = 3, degrees of freedom within = (number of observations 98 – number of categories 4) = 94

Within:
empire|
11.333-15-=-3.667|-3.667^2=13.446
11.333-6=5.333|5.333^2=28.440
11.33-13=-1.667|-1.667^2=2.778
empire sum of squares: 44.664
state|
6-10.666=-4.666|-4.666^2=21.771
24-10.666=13.334|13.334^2=177.795
2-10.666=-8.666|-8.666^2=75.099
state sum of squares: 274.665
Fed|
6-6.333=-0.333|-0.333^2=.110
10-6.333=3.667|3.667^2=13.446
3-6.333=-3.333|-3.333^2=11.108
Fed sum of squares: 24.664
Rep|
5-4.333=0.667|0.667^2=.444
5-4.333=0.667|0.667^2=.444
3-4.333=-1.33|-1.33^2=1.768
Rep sum of squares :2.656
2.656 +24.664+274.665+44.664
Sum of squares within= 346.649
The more variation there is within a category, the more likely it is that general variation is due to random chance than due to category.

Between:
11.333-8.166=3.167|3.167^2=10.29
10.666-8.166=2.5|2.5^2=6.25
6.333-8.166=-1.833|-1.833^2=3.359
4.333-8.166=-3.833|-3.833^2=14.691
10.29+6.25+3.359+14.691=34.59
34.59*3=103.77
Sum of squares between=103.77
The more variation there is between categories, the more likely it is that general variation is due to category rather than random chance.

Ssw346.649/ df within94=3.687 mean square within
Ssb103.77/ df between 3=34.59 mean square between
Total sum of squares=405.419

(The threshold we have to clear to confirm a relationship, determined by how certain we want to be of the relationship.) Critical f(3,94)= 2.12999
Sample f= 34.59/3.687=9.381
2.12999<9.381
I reject the null. There is a relationship between faction and number of articles.
Hell, I reject the null all the way up to alpha .01, which is 99% certainty.
Sum of Squares Between/Total Sum of Squares=103.77/405.419=.2559
25.59% of the total variation in news articles is explained by faction. This is a strong relationship.
[/spoiler]

For those of you who don't care for all the work, the numbers suggest that there is a relationship between faction and news articles published with a certainty of 99%, and that faction can be used to explain 25.59% of the differences in numbers. Remembering that I accidentally inflated the Federation numbers, 25.59% is lower than what it likely is in reality.

There are some limitations to the data. The data cannot tell us if the articles have been fun or enjoyable. The data cannot tell us if one faction had more/better storylines than another, or if the articles were all fluff. The data does not account for live events. The data does not reconcile well with articles that may seriously involve more than one faction. The data doesn't accommodate other sources of lore, like chronicles or fiction portal pages. The data cannot say if one faction roleplay/lore community found an article for another faction more useful than the faction it belongs to.

But it does tell us that:

* Most (and sometimes the majority) of lore articles are not faction articles.
* Some factions get more articles than others and that's not due to random chance.
* Over a fourth of the variation in numbers of news articles published per faction is explained by faction.
* The Republic has had the most consistent and lowest numbers of articles.
* The State has had the most variation in numbers of articles.
* The Empire has had the most articles and the second-most variation in numbers of articles.
I think I'll continue trying to figure out where lore is at and what has happened to it with statistical analysis. I'm planning on comparing gameplay lore justification articles to factional articles next, and then I'm considering looking at chronicles.

Franco Phonaga:
What is the sum of squares? I am not familiar with that term. It is being used to determine if faction bias is consistent over the years? Is that right?

Tressith_Sefira:
So, you might notice that's there's two types of ss (sum of squares) in my maths: sum of squares within categories and sum of squares between categories.

In ssw, I'm doing exactly what you said - I'm subtracting the actual number of articles in that year from the average number of articles for the faction. That gives me a number which indicates how much that year is "off" of the average number of articles. Is this an unusually high year? Is this an unusually low year? How unusual is it - to what extent is it unusual? We can put a number on how weird the individual years are for a faction, compared to the average. So, yes! Exactly what you said! In the sum of squares within categories, I'm checking to see if the numbers are consistent inside a faction.

Empire|
11.333-15-=-3.667
This means that in YC120, the Empire has had 3.6 articles more than usual compared to its own average - that the average number of articles for the Empire is 3.6 less than what the Empire has gotten in YC120.

Then we square that number to get rid of the negative. When we want to figure out how un-average all the individual data points of the Empire news articles are compared to its own average, we want to be able to see how big that is on a scale that starts at 0 (the yearly numbers are all exactly the average) and going up from there. After we've done this entire thing for every faction, we add it together to figure out how weird all the article numbers for factions are when compared to their own faction average.

In ssb, I take the average number of articles per faction for year, and I subtract the total average number of articles (the grand mean) for factions per year, to figure out how many more or fewer news articles a faction gets compared to the normal number of articles per year.

Empire|
11.333-8.166=3.167|3.167

This means that the Empire gets 3.1ish articles more than the average faction per year. Again, I square that number, because I don't want to have any negatives when I'm determining how much every faction differs from the average. And then we add all those squared numbers together to figure out how weird all the faction averages are compared to each other.

Also: Squaring is a surefire way to uniformly play with both positive and negative numbers and always get a positive result. It makes the squared sums look really, dramatically different!

Does that make sense?

Nissui:
A fun read and interesting exercise. :applauseemoji:

Unsurprised that the Republic is so anemic, and reliably so. Manuel.

[Curb Your Enthusiasm themesong plays in the distance.]

Lunarisse Aspenstar:
Interesting and well done!

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